2021-ci ilin aprel ay\u0131nda \u00a0d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda neftin qiym\u0259tinin 70-75 dollara y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yi \u00a0g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir. Bu proqnozla m\u0259rk\u0259zi ofisi \u015eotlandiyada yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n \u201cWood Mackenzie\u201d t\u0259dqiqat v\u0259 konsaltinq \u015firk\u0259ti \u00a0\u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f edib. \u015eirk\u0259tin\u00a0 proqnozuna g\u00f6r\u0259, xam neft ehtiyatlar\u0131 apreld\u0259n etibar\u0259n azalacaq v\u0259 bu il neft t\u0259l\u0259bat\u0131 ke\u00e7\u0259n il\u0259 nisb\u0259t\u0259n g\u00fcnd\u0259lik 6 milyon 300 min barrel artacaq.<\/b><\/p>\n
\u201cWood Mackenzie\u201d t\u0259dqiqat v\u0259 konsaltinq \u015firk\u0259tinin verdiyi proqnozun real olub-olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u00a0 ara\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b.
\n\u00d6nc\u0259 qeyd ed\u0259k ki, son g\u00fcnl\u0259r d\u00fcnya birjalar\u0131nda neftin qiym\u0259ti bahala\u015f\u0131r.\u00a0\u00a0 Londonun ICE (\u201cInterContinental Exchange Futures\u201d) birjas\u0131nda \u201cBrent\u201d markal\u0131 neftin bir barrelinin qiym\u0259ti 2,85 faiz bahala\u015faraq 71,34 dollar t\u0259\u015fkil edib. Son d\u0259f\u0259 \u201cBrent\u201d markal\u0131 neftin qiym\u0259ti 2020-ci ilin\u00a0 yanvar\u0131nda 71 dollardan y\u00fcks\u0259k olub. Nyu-Yorkun NYMEX (\u201cNew York Mercantile Exchange\u201d) birjas\u0131nda is\u0259\u00a0 \u201cLight\u201d markal\u0131 neftin bir barrelinin qiym\u0259ti 2,81 faiz bahala\u015faraq 67,95 dollara \u00e7at\u0131b.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00fcnl\u0259rd\u0259 \u00a0Az\u0259rbaycan neftinin qiym\u0259ti\u00a0 d\u0259\u00a0 bahala\u015f\u0131b. Bel\u0259 ki,\u00a0 \u201cAzeri Light\u201d markal\u0131 neftin bir barrelinin qiym\u0259ti 1,56 dollar artaraq 69,26 dollar t\u0259\u015fkil edib. Bu, son 13 ayda qeyd\u0259 al\u0131nan\u00a0 maksimum g\u00f6st\u0259ricidir. Xat\u0131rladaq ki, \u00a0\u201cAzeri Light\u201d neftinin bir barrelinin qiym\u0259ti ke\u00e7\u0259n il aprelin 21-d\u0259 minimuma en\u0259r\u0259k 15,81 dollar, 2008-ci ilin iyulunda is\u0259 maksimuma y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259r\u0259k 149,66 dollar olub.<\/p>\n
Neftin qiym\u0259ti \u00a0OPEC + \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri\u00a0 nazirl\u0259rinin \u00a0mart\u0131n 4-d\u0259 videokonfrans format\u0131nda ke\u00e7iril\u0259n 14-c\u00fc iclas\u0131ndan sonra artma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131b.\u00a0 H\u0259min iclasda\u00a0 mart ay\u0131 \u00fczr\u0259 xam neft hasilat\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmamas\u0131 q\u0259rara al\u0131n\u0131b, istehsal kvotalar\u0131n\u0131n aprel ay\u0131nda da davam etdirilm\u0259si t\u0259sdiql\u0259nib. Yaln\u0131z Rusiya v\u0259 Qazax\u0131stana hasilat\u0131 m\u00fcvafiq olaraq g\u00fcnd\u0259lik 130 v\u0259 20 min barrel art\u0131rma\u011fa icaz\u0259 verilib.
\nBu q\u0259rardan sonra Brent markal\u0131 xam neftin may fyu\u00e7ersl\u0259rinin\u00a0 qiym\u0259ti \u00a0ICE London birjas\u0131nda \u00a05,2% artaraq barreli 67,43 dollara y\u00fcks\u0259lib.<\/p>\n
Ekspertl\u0259r neftin qiym\u0259tinin son 8 ayda \u00a0\u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259y\u0259 g\u0259lib\u00a0 \u00e7atmas\u0131n\u0131 ilk n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259\u00a0 OPEC + \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri\u00a0 nazirl\u0259rinin \u00a0m\u0259lum q\u0259rar\u0131, dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n koronavirusa qar\u015f\u0131 haz\u0131rlanan peyv\u0259ndl\u0259rin effektli \u00e7\u0131xmas\u0131 v\u0259 k\u00fctl\u0259vi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 t\u0259tbiq olunmas\u0131 il\u0259 izah edirl\u0259r. Onlar hesab edirl\u0259r ki, pandemiya il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dar m\u0259hdudiyyt\u0259l\u0259rin aradan qald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00a0\u201cqara q\u0131z\u0131la\u201d t\u0259l\u0259bat\u0131 da art\u0131racaq.<\/p>\n
Xat\u0131rladaq ki, h\u0259l\u0259 \u00f6t\u0259n ilin dekabr\u0131nda “Saxo Bank”\u0131n\u00a0 \u00a0\u0259mt\u0259\u0259 bazarlar\u0131 strategiyas\u0131 \u015f\u00f6b\u0259sinin m\u00fcdiri Ole Hansen \u00a0neftin\u00a0 bir barrelinin 62 dollara q\u0259d\u0259r bahala\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. Hansen bildirmi\u015fdi ki, \u00a0koronavirusa qar\u015f\u0131 hazrlanan peyv\u0259ndl\u0259r effektli olarsa d\u00fcnyada neft\u0259 olan g\u00fcnd\u0259lik t\u0259l\u0259bat \u00a0100 milyon bareli \u00f6t\u0259 bil\u0259r. Bel\u0259 olan halda 2021-ci ild\u0259 neftin qiym\u0259tinin 62 dollara q\u0259d\u0259r artaca\u011f\u0131 reald\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00a0arada apar\u0131c\u0131 banklar \u00a0OPEC + \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin hasilat\u0131 art\u0131rmamaqla ba\u011fl\u0131 m\u0259lum q\u0259rar\u0131ndan sonra proqnozlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u0259yi\u015fdiribl\u0259r. \u00a0M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n,\u00a0 Goldman Sachs Brent markal\u0131 neftl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 proqnozunu 5 dollar qald\u0131raraq 1 barel \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 80 dollar m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015fdirib.\u00a0 \u0130sve\u00e7\u0259rinin n\u0259h\u0259ng maliyy\u0259 holdinqi UBS Group AG-\u0131n\u00a0 \u00a0analitikl\u0259ri \u00a02021-ci ilin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda Brent markal\u0131 neftin bir bareli \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 75 dollar, WTI nefti \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcns\u0259 72 dollar \u00a0proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131blar.<\/p>\n
JPMorgan v\u0259 Citigroupun ekspertl\u0259ri d\u0259 Brent nefti \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn proqnozlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131blar. Julius Baer Group Ltd-nin ba\u015f iqtisad\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 Norbert \u00a0Ryuker yax\u0131n aylarda bir barrel \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 70 dollardan art\u0131q qiym\u0259t g\u00f6zl\u0259diyini a\u00e7\u0131qlay\u0131b. O deyib ki,\u00a0 qar\u015f\u0131dak\u0131 aylarda istirah\u0259t v\u0259 sayah\u0259t sektorunda aktivlik g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir, bu is\u0259 Q\u0259rbd\u0259 neft istehlak\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racaq.
\nXat\u0131rladaq ki, \u00a0S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131 fevral-mart aylar\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn g\u00fcnd\u0259lik hasilat\u0131 1 milyon barel azaltmaqla ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcz\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6t\u00fcrd\u00fcy\u00fc k\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc \u00f6hd\u0259liyi aprel ay\u0131nda da davam etdir\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n